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Perspectives

Behind the Haze of Indonesia’s Land and Forest Fires

Researchers are using controlled burns to build a stronger evidence base for peatland restoration and fire prevention programs in Indonesia.

By Dr. Nisa Novita, Indonesia Peatland Strategic Lead

A blue sky frames a controlled fire burning in a 10 by 10 meter marked off area.
Collecting Emissions Data The volume of emissions generated by fires serves as a key basis for developing Indonesia’s national GHG inventory, assessing climate targets, and forming land policies. © TNC

When fire strikes Indonesia, public attention is usually focused on the thick haze, ecosystem damage and the surge of carbon emissions released into the atmosphere. Yet one fundamental question is rarely asked: How accurate are the emission estimates from forest and land fires, particularly in peatland ecosystems? The answer is that a significant degree of uncertainty still exists in these calculations. 

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This gap in information prompted The Nature Conservancy’s Indonesia affiliate, Yayasan Konservasi Alam Nusantara (YKAN), together with the National Research and Innovation Agency and Tanjungpura University, to conduct a prescribed peatland burning experiment in Singkawang, West Kalimantan. The region was selected because it is prone to forest and land fires, particularly in peatland ecosystems, and because local communities here have a longstanding tradition of using fire to clear land for cultivation.

Our goal is to generate empirical data that can improve the accuracy of peat fire emission calculations.

A person in a red jumpsuit uses a torch to start a fire.
Drip Torch A member of the burn crew uses a drip torch to conduct a controlled burn in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. © TNC
A red fire truck with Indonesian text across it is parked in a garage.
Controlled Burn By experimenting with peat fire in a controlled environment, TNC and YKAN scientists can gather important data grounded in a real-world scenario. © TNC
Drip Torch A member of the burn crew uses a drip torch to conduct a controlled burn in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. © TNC
Controlled Burn By experimenting with peat fire in a controlled environment, TNC and YKAN scientists can gather important data grounded in a real-world scenario. © TNC

Why Peat Fires Matter for Climate Change

Natural Climate Solutions

Natural climate solutions are actions to protect, better manage and restore nature to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and store carbon. Peatlands can provide much of that carbon-storage opportunity. Learn how TNC is advancing natural climate solutions around the world.

Indonesia is home to one of the largest tropical peatland ecosystems in the world. Over thousands of years, peat soils have stored enormous amounts of carbon within water-saturated soil layers. Under natural conditions, these ecosystems serve as highly effective carbon sinks and reservoirs. However, when peatlands become degraded, dry out and eventually burn, these carbon stocks can be released into the atmosphere in large quantities in the form of carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) all of which contribute to global climate change.

Forest and land fires in Indonesia frequently occur on peatlands. In 2026, for example, the Ministry of Forestry reported that approximately 50 percent of fire-affected areas were located within peatland ecosystems. This figure is significant because peat fires generally produce far greater emissions than fires on mineral soils. Not only does the vegetation burn, but the carbon-rich organic soil layers themselves are consumed by fire.

A group of people look at a map before a controlled burn.
Stronger Data The more accurate the data on emissions from peatland fires, the stronger the basis for decision-making available to governments and other stakeholders. © TNC

In Indonesia, peat depth, hydrological conditions, degree of degradation, vegetation type and fire history can all influence fire behavior and the amount of carbon released. As a result, the use of generalized emission factors often falls short of adequately representing actual field conditions.

Small Differences, Dramatically Different Estimates

The volume of emissions generated by forest and land fires serves as a key basis for developing Indonesia’s national greenhouse gas inventory, assessing climate targets and formulating land management policies. But the figures currently used still contain relatively high levels of uncertainty. This is because most estimates come from a combination of satellite data, emission factors and assumptions about field conditions that cannot always be directly verified.

For example, the extent of burned areas can be mapped through remote sensing technologies. However, burned area is only one component of emissions calculations. To determine how much carbon has been lost, researchers must also understand how deeply the peat has burned, the carbon content of the affected layers, moisture levels, and the completeness of the combustion process and emissions released from the peat soil. Each of these variables can differ from one location to another, even within the same landscape. Small differences can lead to dramatically different emission estimates.

The diversity of Indonesia’s peatlands further magnifies this challenge. Peat depth, hydrological conditions (or water levels), degree of degradation, vegetation type and fire history can all influence fire behavior and the amount of carbon released. As a result, the use of generalized emission factors often falls short of adequately representing actual field conditions. Consequently, uncertainty in emissions calculations remains high.

A person wearing rubber gloves collects soil samples in plastic bags.
Invaluable Information The information collected by researchers is invaluable for refining the emission factors from peat emissions currently used in national calculations. © TNC
A small fire burns in a marked off section of a natural area.
Frequent Fires In 2026, Indonesia’s Ministry of Forestry reported that approximately 50% of fire-affected areas were located within peatland ecosystems. © TNC
Invaluable Information The information collected by researchers is invaluable for refining the emission factors from peat emissions currently used in national calculations. © TNC
Frequent Fires In 2026, Indonesia’s Ministry of Forestry reported that approximately 50% of fire-affected areas were located within peatland ecosystems. © TNC

Why Emissions Uncertainty Matters

This uncertainty is not merely a technical issue. Large discrepancies in emission estimates can affect how governments plan climate change mitigation, set emission reduction targets and make decisions about how to invest in peatland restoration. The more accurate the data, the stronger the basis for decision-making available to governments and other stakeholders.

At the same time, the need for more precise data is becoming increasingly urgent. Indonesia has established a range of commitments to support low-carbon development and climate change mitigation. To achieve these goals, the government requires an emissions accounting system that is robust, transparent and scientifically credible.

A small sign next to a drain that is used to measure water depth in a peatland.
Field Data Through direct field measurements, the research team seeks to better understand the relationship between peat burn depth and carbon loss. © TNC

Through direct field measurements, the research team seeks to better understand the relationship between peat burn depth and carbon loss, observe changes in the physical and chemical properties of soil after fire.

Controlled Burns and Invaluable Data

Amid the peatland landscape of Singkawang, researchers carried out controlled burns on three plots measuring 10-by-10 meters each. Over the course of three days, the activity was supported by Manggala Agni—the Ministry of Forestry’s specialized forest and land fire management unit—as well as the Fire-Aware Community (Masyarakat Peduli Api), a village-based volunteer group involved in fire prevention and suppression. Every stage of the process was carefully monitored to measure emissions released during the burn and to assess changes in peat soil conditions.

A person holds a chunk of soil in one hand and a piece of equipment in the other hand.
Monitoring Variables When measuring emissions from peat fire, small differences can lead to dramatically different emission estimates. © TNC

Through direct field measurements, the research team seeks to better understand the relationship between peat burn depth and carbon loss, observe changes in the physical and chemical properties of soil after fire, and monitor greenhouse gas emissions before, during and after burning events. Such information is invaluable for refining the emission factors from peat emissions currently used in national calculations.

More broadly, field research can help answer several questions for which data remain limited: How much do vegetation and peat layers each contribute to total emissions? How do fluctuations in groundwater levels influence carbon release? How long do fire-related greenhouse gas emissions continue after the flames have been extinguished? Answers to these questions are essential for advancing scientific understanding of tropical peat fires.

A group of people gather next to a red fire truck in the middle of a natural area.
Significant Emissions Peat fires, which occur frequently in Indonesia, generally produce far greater emissions than fires on mineral soils. © TNC
A big, white, metal piece of equipment is situated among rocks.
Specialized Equipment Researchers use specialized equipment to observe changes in the physical and chemical properties of soil after fire, and monitor greenhouse gas emissions. © TNC
Significant Emissions Peat fires, which occur frequently in Indonesia, generally produce far greater emissions than fires on mineral soils. © TNC
Specialized Equipment Researchers use specialized equipment to observe changes in the physical and chemical properties of soil after fire, and monitor greenhouse gas emissions. © TNC

Grounding Peatland Restoration in Evidence

More reliable data can strengthen Indonesia’s national greenhouse gas inventory, improve the quality of climate reporting, and provide a stronger evidence base for peatland restoration and fire prevention programs. In other words, research aimed at reducing scientific uncertainty ultimately supports more effective policies on the ground.

To further enrich the dataset and capture the El-Nino effect, a similar controlled burning experiment will be conducted later this summer.

Peatland fires may not be eliminated entirely in the near future. However, uncertainty regarding their impacts can continue to be reduced. Through rigorous field research and improved empirical data collection, Indonesia has an opportunity to build a stronger scientific foundation for understanding one of the largest and most complex sources of emissions in the tropics.

Ultimately, effective peatland management depends not only on the ability to prevent and extinguish fires, but also on the ability to accurately understand what is being released into the atmosphere when peat burns.

Without robust data, climate policy operates on assumptions. With robust data, policy can be grounded in evidence.

Two women look at a piece of equipment in a peatland.
Measuring carbon YKAN staff member Dr. Nisa Novita (left) and Dr. Evi Gusmayanti of Tanjungpura University measure carbon emissions in the peatlands of West Kalimantan province, Indonesia. © YKAN

About the Author

Dr. Nisa Novita is the Peatland Strategic Lead for TNC’s Indonesian affiliate, Yayasan Konservasi Alam Nusantara (YKAN). She is a scientist who dedicates her time and expertise to understanding how peatlands, as part of natural climate solutions, can mitigate climate change. Research conducted by Nisa and her team found that constructing canal barriers in locations that are properly managed in the oil palm plantations can reduce emissions by up to 30% compared to business as usual.

High-altitude view of a Canadian landscape with a mix of fields and forest.
Manitoba, Canada River running through a forest and farmlands in Manitoba, Canada. © Andre Brandt/Nature United

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